Week 2, 29 September 2013
Monday, 30 September, 2013 Alternative Ratings
Normally, in this slot, would be the Live + 7 data. However, there is a two week delay in the release of this data, and as this is the second week, we won’t get, the Live + 7 for the first time until next week.
So, in place of if the Live + 7, I’m going to introduce everyone to two other different ways of looking at the ratings. The website, Spotted Ratings has two different ways to look at it. (All numbers in this post are from Spotted Ratings). One is called 18-49+ (or, for shorthand, as the site calls it, Plus). This method normalizes the average show for the particular season at 100. Then, shows can be looked at how well they did against the average for that year and be compared between years. The formal explanation and equations can be found here
This is very handy at comparing different seasons. Since around 2000, broadcast television viewing has dropped precipitously (an average of 9% per year). This makes comparing seasons on the basis of raw numbers, almost impossible.
For instance, TBBT averaged 5.25 in the 18-49 last year. How does that compare to shows from previous seasons? If we look at another Chuck Lorre show, Two and a Half Men (TAAHM), we find that in 2004-2005 it had a a 18-49 demo of 5.86, that’s over a half a point higher than TBBT in 2012-2013.
Here’s the difference, that 5.86 in 2004-2005, based on the drop in broadcast viewing, would be equivalent to 3.04 18-49 rating today. Using the Plus rating, that would be a 144 (remember, the average for the season is 100). This system pegs that season as a hit (near big hit).
So, what’s that 5.25 for BBT work out to be in the Plus? Well, the plus rating for TBBT last year worked out to be a 249. The second highest season for a comedy since 2000. Only Friends last year, at 300, was bigger. It’s raw 18-49 rating was 12.19, which would be a 6.33 now.
To see how this comparison works, at Spotted Ratings, there are various comparisons, called The Top 10 of the last 10. The top ten comedy seasons over the last ten years . Note that three of those seasons are by TBBT.
The other Measure used on Spotted Ratings is called True. It takes into account viewing levels (more people viewing on a night means more people available to watch), how big of a lead-in the show has (the more people the previous show has, people may not bother to change the channel), competition (the bigger the shows your going against, the less people available to watch your show). The specifics of these calculations can be found on Spotted Ratings here .
Posted Tuesday 1 October, 2013 Weekly Rankings Week 1 Sept 22-28, 2013)
Sunday Night Football (SNF) was number one in both demo and viewers for the first week in the TV season. TBBT, place both shows in the top five in demo (2 and 3) and Viewers (2 and 4). Interestingly, the other two spots in both demo and viewers was filled by same franchise. The Voice finished 4 and 5 in the demo and an NCIS show finished 3 and 5 in viewers. The top ten follows.
Show 18-49 18-49 viewers
SNF 7.6 9,629,000
TBBT 6.1 7,784,000
TBBT 5.5 7,045,000
The Voice (Mon) 5.1 6,415,000
The Voice (Tue) 4.7 6,015,000
The OT (Football recap) 4.7 5,972,000
Marvel Agents of SHEILD. 4.7 5,936,000
Modern Family 4.2 5,334,000
Football Night in America (Pre) 4.1 5,215,000
The Crazy Ones 3.9 4,912,000
Some observations here. The Crazy Ones benifited from their TBBT lead in. In the 9:01 minute on Thursday, TBBT had a 6.8 demo rating (remember, TBBT at 8 PM ran to 8:31 and the 8:30 show ran to 9:01). We'll find out just how big when we see next weeks numbers. TBBT placed two shows in the top three for the week and it was the Number one and two scripted show. The closest scripted show was Marvel Agents of SHEILD at 4.7. The closest half hour comedy was Modern Family at 4.2, almost two full points behind the second half hour of Big Bang.
Show Total viewers
TBBT 8:30 PM 20,439,000
TBBT 8 PM 18,994,000
The Crazy Ones 15,516,000
The Voice (Mon) 14,983,000
The Voice (Tue) 14,351,000
Dancing With the Stars 13,565,000
The OT (Football) 12,885,000
Again, The Crazy Ones seemed to have benifited by getting scheduled after the one hour TBBT, and, again, we'll see what happens to The Crazy Ones, when their lead in is "The Millers". TBBT was the only scripted show to be in the top five in both viewers and demo. The only other scripted show to make both lists was, The Crazy Ones, and we have to wait until next week to see if it holds up. One, interesting point, TBBT was within ~50,000 viewers of SNF. Since DVRing of Football isn't significant (if someone is going to watch the game, they do it at the time it is one) I would expect TBBT to beat SNF for total viewers, once the a "Live +" numbers start coming in.
We'll cover Syndication tomorrow.
Posted on 2 October, 2013 Syndication for Week 1.
During the first week of the Television season, TBBT finished in third place, behind Judge Judy(JJ) and Wheel of Fortune (WF). In the household rating (we normally look at the 18-49 demo, but in syndication, it's more how many households and total viewers), JJ was first with a 7.1, WF had a 6.4[and TBBT was at 6.1. WF was first in viewers with 9.96 million, JJ had 9.67 and TBBT with 9.63. The weekend version of TBBT on TBS finished in 7th place with a 4.7 household rating and 6.58 million viewers.
If you look at the syndication ratings, you'll notice that four of the top ten (including the #1 and #3 programs) were football. Due to a quirk of how the ratings are collected, football shows up in the syndication ratings, although it shouldn't. What happens is that it is published with the syndication, then basically ignored on the list .
The following is an interesting little tidbit. It was in a press promoting the NFL telecasts, but there was a mention of something else: Since Labor Day, NFL game telecasts rank as the nine most-watched shows on television and are the only programs along with the season premieres of CBS’ The Big Bang Theory [/color](20.4 million) and NCIS(20.0 million) to draw at least 20 million viewers.
News, notes and answers to questions, Week 2
OK, I mentioned that I expected that once the Live + data started coming in, we'd see TBBT move to number 1 in viewers. Well, here's the thing. I can't find anything about the Live + 3 lift for Sunday Night Football (SNF), which tells me there wasn't much of a lift (not that I expected one). However, TBBT had a 3 day lift of 3.93 million viewers for the 8 PM show, taking it to 22.92 million viewers. At 8:30, TBBT added 4.23 Million bringing the total after three days to 24.67 million. In the demo, the increase was 1.8 (to a 7.3. A 33% Increase) at 8 PM, and a 1.8 point increase (to a 7.9). I want to point out that near the end of last year, TBBT was pulling in 4 to 4.5 million additional viewers FOR THE LIVE + 7. This past week, they pulled in that amount of additional viewers in three days.
These increases should make TBBT the #1 show for the week.
Ok, TBBT has crossed the 23 million viewer threshold twice in Live + 7. "The Egg Salad Equivalency" hit 23.38 and "The Bakersfield Expedition" hit 23.81, with 7 day lifts of 4.13 and 3.81, respectively.
Three day totals, for Thursday, are 22.92 and 24.44, on lifts of 3.93 and 4.23. Notice that the three day totals are almost as high, in one case, and beat it, in the other case for last year's 7 day totals. This year's three day lift is a bit higher than the 7 day lift last year.
Thursday Overnights, Week 2, Posted October 4, 2013
The overnights are out and TBBT had a 5.0 demo, with 17.75 million viewers. It was the highest rated demo (by almost a point and a half) and the most viewers(by four and a half million). Again, TBBT had over 50% of viewers at 8:00 PM. In Demo, TBBT beat the other three shows combined by a 5.0 to 4.5 and in viewers 17.75 to 13.01 Million. As a note, "The Crazy Ones", which last week had a 3.9 demo, with TBBT as a lead in dropped to a 2.9, with the new show "The Millers" as its lead in. A full report will be put up later, after the Thursday finals are available. Historically, TBBT increases by 1-3 tenths in demo and 500-750 thousand viewers when the finals come out.
Note, the strike out above, was due to the early ratings not reporting the "Scandal" season reviews. With that reported the other four shows had a 6.1 demo (TBBT 5.0) and the other four now have about a million viewers more than TBBT.
Thursday Final Ratings, Week 2, Posted October 4, 2013
Ok, here we go on the finals. TBBT had a 5.2 with 18.22 million. That made it the high in viewers and demo for the night. Second and third in demo were Scandal, at 3.6 and the Millers at 3.0. In viewers second and third were The Millers, with 13.09 and The Crazy Ones with 11.71. As a note the highest other show in TBBT time slot was The X Factor at 2.0 and 7.13. I mentioned last week that we will see how well The Crazy Ones did without TBBT lead in. It lost a full rating point in the demo and just under four million viewers although both the demo and number of viewers were higher than The Millers (3.9, 15,52 million).
Total viewers were lower than last week, by about 5% (18.99-18.22)(I'm talking about the 8 PM show, the 8:30 show was out of the timeslot, although that was up over 74% over the Season Premiere of Two and a Half Men last year.), but was still the sixth highest ever. All six episodes that have the highest number of viewers have come in 2013. Three in the spring of last year, and the first three episodes this year. In demo, it was down ~6% (5.5-5.2) and Year over Year (for the third episode) the show was up 28% in viewers (14.23-18.22) and up 15% in demo (4.5-5.2).
So far this year, after three episodes, the demo average is up 16%(4.8-5.6) and viewers are up 27% (15.02-19.22, yes that's 19.22 million for Live + Same Day, and yes that is up over four million viewers, these numbers are just silly). For an interesting comparison, on Thursday night,at 8 PM, against TBBT, "Parks and Recreation" had 3.14 million viewers, total.
I have been doing the weekly comparisons here, but I will start doing those comparisons on Tuesday, when we get the weekly results.
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Edited by Tensor, 01 November 2013 - 08:46 PM.